2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds: Rodgers, Burrow Open as Favorites
After Joe Flacco stunned Damar Hamlin to win the 2023-24 NFL Comeback Player of the Year, we're looking at the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds from our NFL betting sites.
Last year's NFL Comeback Player of the Year was a good reminder of the unpredictability of this award. Buffalo Bills safety Damar Hamlin looked like a lock to win it, but Joe Flacco took home the honor after guiding the Cleveland Browns to the playoffs.
Unlike last year, this year's NFL Comeback Player of the Year race is full of brandname players, especially at the QB position. Unsurprisingly, Aaron Rodgers opened as the clear favorite across our best sports betting sites after tearing his Achilles four plays into his debut with the New York Jets on Monday Night Football.
Other former Pro Bowlers vying for the award include Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow, who's also an NFL MVP odds contender, new Atlanta Falcons QB Kirk Cousins, new Pittsburgh Steelers QB Russell Wilson, and Cleveland Browns RB Nick Chubb.
Here's our look at the odds for the 2024 NFL Comeback Rookie of the Year (NFL odds from our best sports betting sites).
2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds
(Odds as of May 18)
Name | DraftKings | Caesars |
---|---|---|
Aaron Rodgers | +100 | +175 |
Joe Burrow | +200 | +250 |
Kirk Cousins | +500 | +700 |
Anthony Richardson | +750 | +550 |
Russell Wilson | +1200 | +1500 |
Deshaun Watson | +1500 | +2000 |
Nick Chubb | +1800 | +1800 |
Justin Herbert | +2500 | OFF |
Daniel Jones | +2500 | +2800 |
Tank Dell | +2800 | +4000 |
NFL Comeback Player of the Year favorites
Aaron Rodgers (+175 via Caesars)
No player commanded more media attention last offseason than Rodgers, who was traded to the Jets in late April. The four-time MVP had the Big Apple abuzz about Gang Green's Super Bowl potential, but it all ended four plays into Week 1 against the Buffalo Bills.
Now, Rodgers and his more than 470 career TD passes are set to make one of the most anticipated comebacks in NFL history. The 40-year-old opened as the clear favorite to win Comeback Player of the Year, as he gets set to try and elevate a Jets team littered with talent.
Rodgers' odds are as short as +100 at our best sportsbooks, which implies a 50% probability of him winning the award, according to our odds calculator. Will he be able to stay healthy enough behind the Jets rebuilt O-line to take home the hardware?
Joe Burrow (+250 via Caesars)
Since the NFL began handing out the Comeback Player of the Year award each season in 1998, only former Jets and Miami Dolphins QB Chad Pennington has won it twice. Pennington had just one season separating his wins, while Burrow, who won it in 2021, will have two.
Burrow would be an obvious choice in most seasons with the Bengals on the shortlist of contenders by the Super Bowl odds. But will it work against him that he's already won it? If all things are equal between him and Rodgers, it makes far more sense to give it to the guy who basically missed an entire season than the QB who started 10 games last year and already has the award in his trophy case.
Anthony Richardson (+750 via Caesars)
Normally this award goes to players who have been around for at least a few seasons, but Anthony Richardson has a really interesting case entering his sophomore year in the NFL. The fourth overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, Richardson was quickly becoming one of the most electric young QBs as a rookie last year.
The former Florida Gator missed a Week 3 game with a concussion before his season ended in Week 5 due to an AC joint sprain. While he only played in four games, his arm talent and rushing ability were eye-popping. If he can stay healthy, the Colts could have one of the most explosive offenses in the league. When Burrow won the award in 2021, it was under similar circumstances.
NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds over time
(Odds via DraftKings)
Name | Opening odds on May 8 |
---|---|
Aaron Rodgers | +100 |
Joe Burrow | +200 |
Kirk Cousins | +500 |
Anthony Richardson | +750 |
Russell Wilson | +1200 |
Deshaun Watson | +1500 |
Nick Chubb | +2000 |
Tank Dell | +2500 |
Daniel Jones | +2500 |
Justin Herbert | +2500 |
How to bet on NFL Comeback Player of the Year
Of the NFL futures markets, NFL Comeback Player of the Year may be the strangest to bet into, especially with how last year played out - giving it to the most out of nowhere performance (Flacco). There's not a ton of consistency with how the voters decide on the award; sometimes it's the best player to come back from a season-ending injury (Andrew Luck); sometimes it's treated more like a most improved award (Geno Smith); and other times, it's the most inspiring comeback regardless of on-field play (Alex Smith).
This year is a little bit different with so many talented QBs returning from devastating injuries last season. This award is almost a lock to go to whichever of the returning QBs is most impressive, which is why the best move is to target whichever passer you believe has the best shot at returning to Pro Bowl form and contending for the playoffs.
Previous NFL Comeback Player of the Year winners
Season | Player | Team | Position |
---|---|---|---|
2023 | Joe Flacco | Browns | QB |
2022 | Geno Smith | Seahawks | QB |
2021 | Joe Burrow | Bengals | QB |
2020 | Alex Smith | Washington Football Team | QB |
2019 | Ryan Tannehill | Titans | QB |
2018 | Andrew Luck | Colts | QB |
2017 | Keenan Allen | Chargers | WR |
2016 | Jordy Nelson | Packers | WR |
2015 | Eric Berry | Chiefs | S |
2014 | Rob Gronkowski | Patriots | TE |
NFL Comeback Player of the Year FAQs
Who is the favorite for NFL Comeback Player of the Year?
New York Jets QB Aaron Rodgers opened as the favorite to win the 2024-25 NFL Combeback Player of the Year. His odds are as short as +100, implying a 50% probability he will win the award.
When will the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year be announced?
The NFL Comeback Player of the Year will be announced at the NFL Honors show during Super Bowl week in early February 2025.
Who was the NFL Comeback Player of the Year last year?
Cleveland Browns QB Joe Flacco was named the NFL's Comeback Player of the Year for the 2023-24 season after signing with the team for the final five games.
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